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Hey guys. Its been a while since I’d had some activity. I’ve been logging ours and diligently recording my hand-histories. I was in a hand that was very interesting. Please let me know your thoughts and feedback on my analysis.
I just got to the table. Lots of short stacks at this table with one OMC type with a huge stack. I was hoping to mix it up with this gentleman, but he quickly folds when I take the betting lead away from him. The hand in question was was the 2nd hand dealt to me, and the first hand I played.
I have history with the villain in this hand. He buys in for short: 30 – 50 BB max at a time. He plays only pocket pairs, suited broadways, and premium hands only. He plays really face-up in my opinion. He plays for top-pair, sets, or flushes. I’ve never seen him show up with straights. However, I am the only one that seems to always double him up, and it’s usually because he out-draws me. To date, I am 0-5 against this opponent.
Hero stack: 400
Hero position: MP
Hero hand: 10 9 ssVillain stack: ~160
Villain position: BTN
Villain hand: Reveal at endPreflop:
Hero opens to 15, villain flats. We go heads up to the flop.Pot: 30
Flop: 10d 9d 3d
Hero bets 20, villain raises to 55, hero raises all-in, villain tank-callsPot: 320
Turn: 6d
River: 4hI know his calling range against me. He is weighted to pocket pairs, suited broad-way, and strong aces.
Hero hand equity: 39.1%
Villain range equity: 60.9%Preflop, I’m in pretty bad shape here. Its no wonder I’ve been losing to this guy every time. I hoped to get a good flop and maintain the betting lead to see what he does. I relied on my history with this villain to aid my decisions.
I flop a good hand and bet for value and to maintain the betting lead. Villain min-raises me. I know this is not a set, a flush, or two pair. I know he has an over-pair based on his action. I knew I was ahead against his flop-range and he never folds an over-pair. If I call, he’ll have about a pot-size bet left. I put him all-in for the rest of his stack, hoping to deny his equity to hit a flush in case he has a diamond in his hand.
He tanks for about 2 minutes. He starts talking to me and asks, “You got kings or aces?” I reply, “ I have a flush” and tried to goat him into calling. I really believed I got him this time and I patiently wait for him to call. He stacks his chips and starts to slide his chips forward, looking to make a call, but he tanks still. Guess he was trying to get a reaction out of me. Another minute passes and he finally calls. I flip over my hand and his face says it all, he’s behind.
Hero hand equity: 58.7%
Villain range equity: 41.3%Villain turns over QQ sd and wins with a flush, and celebrates.
I think he was trying to get me to tilt. He then comments to his neighbor, “I thought he had KK or AA.” I thought to myself, “why the hell are you calling if you know your behind!”
When I compared my hand to his range of: KK, QQ, JJ. Stacking off with him was a profitable play.
When I compare my hand weighted towards him having a diamond in his range, I’m slightly behind with 47.4% equity. Having a diamond in his hand made a real difference.
I just learned how my opening range compares to this villains calling range. I’m slightly behind, because he has a very narrow calling range. 49.6% to his 50.4%
However, I also learned the value in maintaining the betting lead. My opponents tend to think I have specific hands and they are usually wrong. On the flop, the villain’s min-raise helped me define his hand significantly. I know he has a one-pair hand here and likely to be an over-pair, and he is not folding it.
I really do not know how to adjust to this villain. My opening range versus this opponents calling range makes me a slight underdog. He’s cracked my aces, kings, set, two-pair, and now top-two. I’ve seen him in pots, where it is not profitable for him and still gets the best of it. He likes to buy-in short, doubling up and leaving, and this is just what he did in this hand.
After this hand I felt tilt coming on. However, I quietly took 5 deep breaths and channeled “Johnnie Vibe Zen”. I also remembered “Painless Poker” from Kristy and reminded myself that it’s okay and focus on making good decisions and not results. So I did and maintained my composure.
I was in the game for $600 and cashed out for $820 in 3 hours of play.
You did about all you could against an OMC. You had the better hand even though he had equity, and you got the money in then. He got lucky, all you can say.
With this player, an OMC that plays short, you really don’t want to get involved in pots with him (unless you have a premium). You don’t have the implied odds to play against him effectively. Since you are almost always at a range disadvantage, you want to win big pots against him. Stacking him for $150 won’t make up all the small loses you take for him. Raise your normal range, but if he calls I wouldn’t bet more than one street to try and push him off AK if the board is good for that.
In this hand, you flop top two so you have to continue. With his stack I’m never not getting it in. The fact that he tanked with an overpair and a flush draw just means he’s terrible.
But I would just avoid him. He’s only playing premiums, and he’s got a short-stack. Unless he’s got a good stack he’s just not worth it.
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