call or fold to a half drunk aggressor player?

[pokerfish]

I played a quite loose and aggressive play in a no limit 1/3 game. The old aggressive player (semi-drunk) with $450+ behind raises from the cutoff position to $15 and the button (old semi-loose) with $300 calls $15. I look down at AK off suit at sb with $700 stack and reraised to $75. Everyone folds. Both cutoff and button call. The Flop comes 9, 10, 6 rainbow. I bet $100, both call. The turn comes K. I check. The cutoff goes all in for $290. The button goes all in for $110. I tank fold. The river comes an off suit Q. In order not to be result oriented, I will reveal what they have in the comments. Thank you for your input! One thing to factor in was that in the really previous hand the cutoff (old loose semi drunk player) won, he showed a K (pairing the board) to tell the table he did not bluff and said the reason why he showed was to set up the stage for the time when he really bluffs. My reasoning was even if the drunk guy was bluffing the cold caller (button) might have a set and take the main pot. Top pair top kicker looks nice but both of them went all in on a K turn scared me. I felt like it was a trap so folded.

[Patrick]

I mean the price is pretty good. call $290 to win a pot size at $915? Is my math right here…?

But with 2 all ins in front of you you would think ONE of them has something better than 1 pair. No flush draws right? A gut-shot here? TJ or QK? both of them? meh… sets all are in range, but so is 9T, KT and JQ. I mean maybe you can hope drunky is on a pure bluff or has JT (or QT) and old guy cant fold his QQ (orJJ)for his last $110 into this monster pot… but that’s some real optimism I think.

But more so I think that its a good fold because even if you think the pot odds make this situation “close enough” to get it in there (% of bluffs in the mix), the game seems lucrative enough that you don’t need to risk it in high variance close spots. If these guys MIGHT be jamming with less than top pair, then wait till you have it crushed then kindly ask them for their chips. No need to risk so much in this spot.

[Author]

Posts