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This is my first post and first time using ShareMyPair. The Villain in this hand was known to me as a capable player; he was waiting for $2-5 list. As I mentioned in the note, in an earlier hand he had shoved on the river when the board paired, something link KQ5,X,5. His opponent called and won with Qx. The Villain rebought for $1000 and had been losing steadily since then, down to about $300. His earlier bluff-shove might have swayed me to call him down when he had the goods. Was my call on the turn justified?
–jazbo
Sorry, I thought I included it – my first post.
Just in case: I’m in the cutoff with AA in a $1-3 game (uncapped buy-in). After four limps, I raise to $21 (with $655 behind). Four players call. On the Qd9d3c flop, I CBet $80 into $110, which only the LoJack calls. On the 9s turn, he shoves for $213. (Note: I actually called his bet, but I couldn’t figure out how to finish the ShareMyPair hand on my iphone without exposing the turn, river and the Villain’s hand, which should not factor into the analysis.)
My decision to call was partly based on the fact that the Villain had bluffed on an earlier hand when the board paired on the river. After busting, he rebought for $1000 and had been losing since then.
I would’ve had a hard time folding, getting a little over 2:1, especially when you said you saw him bluff on paired board.
I guess there could be some 9x in his limp/call range, but he might also be bluffing diamonds draw, JT, QT, QJ, KQ
Reading your title, I guess you lost vs 33 or 9x (?) But i think it’s still a call if we think about his range
Actually, his donk shove ott reps a 9x but if so, why not x/r? Or check and push river if you check back turn.
He might used the scary paired board to semi bluff a double draw, (12-15 outs)
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