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WTF just happened?
I’m sitting 1/3 @ bellagio playing $600 eff vs V. V utg limps (he’s been doing it a ton) I raise $12 with KK, utg calls
HU to flop of T66 rainbow. V checks. He’s been folding to almost 100% of c bets & it’s a relatively dry board. So I check back.
Turn is an off suit Jack. V leads…$100. Yes $100 into ~25
What should I do?
Dan
I would probably call to see a river and re-assess although he likely has you beat with either a 6 or some concealed monster like pocket 10’s. Hard to know without having more details on the player. If he is limping a lot then folding often on the flop this seems like a weak tight player who would only bet big with a real hand. That being said his range is really polarized so he either has close to the nuts or some nothing weak draw like 9-10. I think folding is also fine since you don’t have much invested. Neeme and Brad would both probably call and re-assess which is why that was my first suggestion.
I think this is a really interesting discussion and interested in hearing others thoughts. I had a similar situation to this one. This hand happened, a long time ago, but the important parts are I raised to like 12 with AK in a 1/2 game, and got one caller in the bb. Flop is A66, he checks I check back the flop, turn he bets $50, so twice the pot. River he fires $100 and I think about it for a while and fold.
This was kind of a loose wild player who had been drinking. I thought about this hand a lot after the fact. Did he bet so big on the turn and river to make up for lost value with a huge hand? Or did my flop check make him think I was weak and so it induced a bluff from him that ultimately got through. When players do these 2-4x overbets on scary boards, are they doing it to make up for lost value with a monster, or are they just attacking weakness to take down the pot?
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