What are the odds ? (Crazy)

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  • #515
    Phoenix Frei
    Participant

    This page seemed like the right place for this, does anyone know the odds of this happening? I was sitting at a table and the t.v right above us had poker after dark playing. The flop we had at our table in real life was the same exact flop in the same exact order at the same exact time as on t.v. The video quality isnt the best because I had to film it quick but check it out

    #525
    Kevin Rex
    Participant

    There are C(52,3) = 22,100 possible equivalent flops. So if two flops are occurring from separate decks at the same time the odds of having the same three cards is 1/22,100.

    However, those three cards can be arranged in six different ways: (1,2,3) (1,3,2) (2,1,3) (2,3,1) (3,1,2) (3,2,1).

    So the odds of having the same flop in the same order is 1/132,600. Pretty small!

    #534
    Brent
    Participant

    Based on the information you gave, I’d say 100%. 🙂

    Twilight Zone stuff, lol.

    #536
    Phoenix Frei
    Participant

    Thank you for working that math out for me ! I’ll most likely never see anything like that again 😂

    #541
    Michael
    Participant

    More likely to occur twice in a row than winning the lottery once, amiright? I just guesstimated that.

    #548
    Kevin
    Participant

    haha, pretty funny.

    But the odds of 1/132,600 does only account for shuffling the same flop twice. It doesn’t account for the timely odds of you playing this flop on the exact same time as the correct Poker After Dark episode airs and you also noticing it.

    So the odds are… well… pretty damn small xD

    • This reply was modified 7 years, 6 months ago by Kevin.
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