This page seemed like the right place for this, does anyone know the odds of this happening? I was sitting at a table and the t.v right above us had poker after dark playing. The flop we had at our table in real life was the same exact flop in the same exact order at the same exact time as on t.v. The video quality isnt the best because I had to film it quick but check it out
There are C(52,3) = 22,100 possible equivalent flops. So if two flops are occurring from separate decks at the same time the odds of having the same three cards is 1/22,100.
However, those three cards can be arranged in six different ways: (1,2,3) (1,3,2) (2,1,3) (2,3,1) (3,1,2) (3,2,1).
So the odds of having the same flop in the same order is 1/132,600. Pretty small!
But the odds of 1/132,600 does only account for shuffling the same flop twice. It doesn’t account for the timely odds of you playing this flop on the exact same time as the correct Poker After Dark episode airs and you also noticing it.
So the odds are… well… pretty damn small xD
This reply was modified 7 years, 6 months ago by Kevin.