[Scott]

Thanks John for your thoughts. I do see this now. I think I could find a fold here in the future….. I don’t think I’d call here committing half my stack though. I think it’s a fold to a what looks super strong like you say or go ahead and go with my read of probably a flip. which is not ideal… with my low STP ratio I’m thinking a low variance fold here in hind site.
I’ll be looking to 3 bet a bit more as well next time as well….
Thanks for imput… I hope to share hands more often, both my own and others who share, to learn from others on this forum, thanks…..

[Scott]

Again, I don’t see a value bet here…
You’re not likely to get called by less often enough
(IMO) so, the only reason to bet is to fold out weak but better hands which of course is a bluff then. Which I kinda like that line here. I does seem very unlikely to face a jam here if you bet so not much danger in a bluff bet from you. ( and you’d have to fold or make a hero call.)

[Scott]

I’d like a squeeze here myself.. and $100 is right also IMO. would be happy to pick up dead money here and you do have equity to a draw or flopped scare cards if called. although what is your stack size? can you fold to a 4 bet shove most likely from the UTG or would you’d be committed. Do you have it in you to pot it on the flop with a semi-bluff if you miss.
Flatting is fine but post flop is tough even in position with out hitting the flop….
I’d rather be aggressive here..

[Scott]

Villian bets $ 3.00 on the river?????
or was it $30?
I think if 3 only (weird) same as a check to me, then 75 can get weak Jx and Kx even to fold out as well as better pairs such as 9s 10s even Qs maybe if you feel that’s likely part of his range. So, you’d be bluffing here. which is cool with me..but what is the fold equity here?
If you really felt ahead, like you say, I would think an easy call is best. unlikely to get a call from less (even if it was a $30 bet) for value, yet could get a nasty reraise from the villian. my thoughs…..
I really like all streets of action on your part but if it were me I’d be happy with a cheap show down. and no river bet from me..not sure of the fold equity on the river bet bluff

[Scott]

with out a doubt a raise is in order. AA plays awful against multiple players. even larger might look like a steal attempt and might get better value heads up from some body.

[Author]

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