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ISO larger pre (~$15) for sure. Flatting the 3-bet kind of sucks here because we’re just so easily dominated facing a 3-bet and flat before action gets to us, but it is a very good price. however, because we are so easily dominated in this situation so often, we’re not really happy just flopping top pair/decent kicker.
I think your action post-flop is severely overplaying our hand for the reasons stated above. I think we check/call down on most brick runout, unless villain starts sizing up large, in which case we can just fold our moderate-strength hand here.
1)
– If the table dynamic is such that a $10 raise is getting tons of calls, go bigger with RFI.
– There’s no reason to bet this flop.
– He shoves $40 into a pot of $120… thus, you only need to be good 20% of the time here to call. You have the right price, but I guess if you want to exploitatively fold then go for ir.
2)
– You say the table is loose and standard raise sizes are going very multi-way to the flop, but you think opening KJo in EP is good? Nah, never good. The looser the table, the tighter you RFI, not the other way around.
3)
– This is a very loose open as you mentioned.
– I don’t see any merit in c-betting this flop. This board smashes the BTN and even BB’s range. You can have overpairs and sets, but you also have a ton of overs in your range. They, meanwhile, have all of the sets, two pairs, and then strong straight draws and more flush draws. They also have the nuts in their range, and you really shouldn’t.
4)
– Standard
5)
– Don;t c-bet this board. With this many callers the raw equity of your hand decrease SO MUCH. Why would you just “naturally c-bet” this board?My thoughts on the hand:
– You can raise larger pre-flop, I’d go somewhere between $16-$20.
– Your flop sizing is too big IMO. You’re betting $30 into a pot of $44 on a rather dry texture. When you size this large, you’re folding out weaker hands that could continue to a smaller bet. When you bet this large on this texture, you are narrowing his range too much. I would bet more like $20ish on this texture.
– I like checking the turn as he doesn’t have a ton of natural bluffs check/raising this flop. He would be raising sets and two pairs for value, and hands like 10 8s, 8 6s, maybe hands like 10 9s, 9 8s, or 8 7s if he thinks he can barrel you off an A.
– River is a call after he slows down turn. Sets and two pairs barrel turn, and those pair + straight draws will probably fire river like this.
