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I think it’s a fold mostly because of the comments made by other posters. One thing that you need to learn more than the outcome of the hand is your raise size. The truth is that you give the villain an opportunity to make that bet because you haven’t raised enough, which firstly you are giving a bet size tell which he has taken advantage of. Rather than thinking whether this is or isn’t a fold to a four bet(it is a fold) you will be a better player learning how to choose your bet sizing better. Good luck
I like a small bet there. 50-60 dollars. I don’t really see him having any draws so you have the board pretty much on lock.there are a lot more hands he has that would call a bet as opposed to hands he feels he has to turn into bluffs. Aim would be to get crying calls from ace king who want to see the river and jacks and 10’s. Then a similar 1/3 bet on the river unless a king or ace hits, then I would size up.
Ok I think you play the hand fine against this type of player. One thing I would have taken from the comment he made is that I think you can squarely put his hand on ace queen king queen. Most likely king queen with his flop bet. If somebody says out loud that they put you on jacks and they are shoving if they hit the flop I would take that as them saying they have two overs to a jack, that would be my interpretation of ghat comment
I think your analysis is spot on after, although to say it’s horrible play is been a bit hard on yourself. It’s the hardest thing in poker to fold aces no matter what the situation is you just don’t want to let them go. theres 6 combos of sets your losing too and i would argue less realistic combos of flush draws because there is kq,qj and maybe kj but that’s about it. The 10 and 8 eliminate a lot of suited connecters. So by that it’s a fold and also actually if it was 50:50 you do still lose money in the long run because if your right you still only win 70 percent of the time but if your wrong you lose 90 percent of the time which makes it an unprofitable play in the long run. Having said all that it’s always easier analysing a hand than actually playing one and I would still struggle to lay Aces down there. 🙃
Ok cheers for the feed back. He’s one of those who to me speaks all the jargon but seems like he doesn’t really have any idea how to play in real time. He says in other vlogs and earlier in this one how he is amassing fortunes out in vegas and I just think…..no your not
using small raise sizing pre doesn’t get enough people to fold hands. which firstly can make multiway pots which depending on your hand isnt the worst thing but you have a lot less chance to win going multiway. Other problems are good players will see it as a weak bet and will reraise if they think you are weak. If you are betting just 2.5 with that hand and say raising 4x big with premium hands players will pick up on your sizing and will find it easier to play against you. also just using that last hand as an example. Flop comes A3J. you can think to yourself well ive raised 4x pot so I dont expect him to have two pairs of jack 3 because he would fold that pre. so you can have a better idea of what hands they may have. you only bet 5 the big blind can defend with anything. He can rep a lot more on any board.
I thought that hand was played fine tbh. I think he raises AJ pre so ace a3 looks like a good shout. I think it’s a good value bet the river bet. There’s actually only a few hands that are winning you there that I think don’t get raised pre. Pocket 3’s maybe but think you would have seen a turn bet with that hand. The only thing is that it’s specifically A3 hand that you are targeting but that is the most likely hand I imagine he would have with the way the hand was played
Yes I agree think if it was live I would have got to that conclusion. Had a 1 minute time bank and it was a surprising line so didn’t quite have time to work all odds out etc. It is a call though. I discounted 10’s jacks at the time as in position I think he flat calls my preflop bet. I should have 4 bet preflop anyway. It looks like AK to me the line he took.
