Outside of the hand itself, I’ve tried to egg on the big blind to several flops who plays pretty loose. I had won a decent sized pot against him a few hands back after I spotted his bluff, so I was eager to stay in the hand with him anyway. In a higher stakes game I probably still would have limped pre and folded before the turn in the same situation, but the value was there to chase the gutter in my mind.
Looking at the straight up odds of all 3 hands, my hand was crushed on the flop with only about an 8% chance of winning. Those odds completely flipped on the turn as my hand became a 95% favorite before getting crushed and cooled.
I’ve been doing a lot more hand analysis on my own before I head to Vegas this week. Thanks for the sanity check.