Phil A.

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    Phil A.
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    Hi Scott,

    Thanks for sharing this hand, it’s an interesting one. I’m still fairly new to forums like this but I’m excited for this community!

    I ran some basic calculations in Equi-Lab with this hand because I see stuff like this often in online, low-stakes MTTs and cash games myself.

    We don’t have any details on these players so I made some assumptions with the BB Call range at over 50% and including high value cards like KQs, etc. Again, these are just basic approximations of what type of range you could see for these positions.

    Putting your hand and his/her holdings into Equi-lab (and ignoring the other two because that calculation took forever…), your equity is about 85% over the BB call range over 50% of hands and including those premium holdings like KQs, etc.

    I think you’re right that this was a tight fold in retrospect.

    You block the 10 for both Q-10 and 10-7 for his turned straights, you have one diamond so it’s possible he’s on a diamond draw, there are two aces out so you block most Ax hands he could have called and flopped two pair and tried to trap you, and it’s very possible he’s on some sort of flush/straight draw here with low holdings hoping for a gutter on the river and donking into you to try and knock you off top pair or a better draw compared to their bad draw (edited).

    At the end of the day, I don’t think I’d be going anywhere with almost 3.5:1 pot odds with top pair and an open-ended straight draw with what sounds like a sticky player. I probably advocate shoving here and seeing how it plays out knowing you have a ton of equity against their whole range in this spot.

    • This reply was modified 7 years, 6 months ago by Phil A..
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